Dividend Yield Plays: Stocks Like Verizon & American Express in a Low-Growth Scenario
The post-holiday market often feels quieter — lower volume, slower growth expectations — and for many investors that raises the same question: if top-line growth stalls, where do you put your money? One common answer is income: dividend payers that can offset muted capital appreciation. In this piece I walk through why dividend yield strategies matter in a low-growth environment, compare two very different examples (Verizon and American Express), show sector alternatives, give a practical checklist for evaluating income names, and finish with a sample, sensible approach you can adapt.
Why dividend yield matters when growth slows
When economic growth and earnings momentum are lackluster, total returns tend to compress. Dividends become a larger proportion of your return — and that makes the reliability of the payout as important as the yield itself. Some investors tilt to higher yields for immediate income; others prefer companies with lower but steadily rising distributions (dividend growers). Neither is “right” for everyone, but both are sensible responses to a low-growth backdrop — provided you understand the tradeoffs. Advice repeated by market commentators this year: don’t blindly chase the highest yield — investigate why a yield is high.
Two real-world contrasts: Verizon vs. American Express
Verizon (VZ) — high current yield, defensive telecom income
Verizon is a textbook income candidate in a slow-growth scenario. It’s a large telecom with a long dividend history and, as of late December 2025, a reported forward/trailing yield in the high single digits (roughly 6.7–6.9% depending on the provider). That yield reflects both the company’s steady cash generation from wireless and broadband services and the market’s appetite for income in a lower-growth setting. Telecoms trade like utilities in many respects: predictable cash flow, regular capex, and a strong focus on returning cash via dividends. But they can have heavy leverage and capital expenditure needs (5G, fiber), so yield strength needs to be checked against payout coverage and debt metrics.
American Express (AXP) — lower yield, dividend plus growth optionality
American Express is a very different animal. As a payments/financial services franchise, it generally offers a modest dividend yield (sub-1% as of December 2025) while returning capital through buybacks and benefitting from card-transaction growth when consumers spend. That makes AXP a hybrid: not an income leader, but a quality business that can provide total-return upside and modest cash return in a recovery. If your priority is steady income in a low-growth world, AXP won’t supply a high current yield — but it may offer a more cyclical buffer (exposure to consumer spending) plus capital return programs. Always check the company investor relations statements for exact declared payouts and timing.
Sector buckets to consider in a low-growth market
If you want reliable income when growth is muted, consider diversifying across these buckets:
- Telecoms — steady subscriber revenue; higher yields (e.g., Verizon). Check capex near-term and payout coverage.
- Utilities — regulated cash flows, steady dividends, lower growth but defensive. (Examples vary by region.)
- REITs — legally mandated to distribute income; yields can be attractive but watch property-type cyclicality and balance sheets.
- Large-cap consumer staples & packaged foods — steady demand in downturns, moderate yields.
- Financials (dividend growers vs. high-yield squeezed names) — banks and asset managers may offer either yield or growth; assess payout ratios and capital requirements.
How to evaluate a high yield — a practical checklist
When you see an eye-popping yield, run this checklist before buying:
- Confirm the yield and the date — yields change with price. Use reliable quotes and note the date (e.g., “forward yield ~6.9% as of Dec 24, 2025”).
- Payout coverage — is the dividend paid from sustainable free cash flow or from debt/surplus accounting quirks? Look at FCF payout ratio and operating cash flow.
- Balance sheet & leverage — high debt raises the risk of cuts in downturns. Check net debt/EBITDA and interest coverage.
- Dividend history & policy — have payouts been steady, raised, or cut historically? A long, consistent history is a strong signal. Company IR pages often show dividend history.
- Business cyclicality — is the company’s revenue stable (utilities, telecom) or highly cyclical (commodities, some financials)? Match this to your income needs.
- Macro & regulatory risks — utilities and telecoms face regulation; REITs depend on property cycles. Factor in outside risks.
An example income-first mini-portfolio (illustrative, not advice)
Below is a demonstrative allocation for an investor prioritizing current income in a slow-growth world. Tweak allocations, amounts, and holdings to your situation and risk tolerance.
- 35% Defensive telecoms & utilities (e.g., a mix of a large-cap telecom like Verizon + a regulated utility) — income backbone.
- 25% REITs (diversified across residential/industrial/healthcare) — higher yield, income + property inflation hedge.
- 20% High-quality dividend growers (blue-chip consumer staples, selective financials like dividend-raising insurers/asset managers) — lower immediate yield but dividend stability.
- 10% Select financials with balance-sheet strength (e.g., companies that combine buybacks and steady dividends) — growth optionality.
- 10% Cash/short-term bonds — laddered for liquidity and to reinvest on pullbacks.
Pitfalls to avoid
- Chasing yield without checking fundamentals. A very high yield can be a warning sign that the market expects a cut.
- Ignoring sector concentration. Yield hunters can unintentionally overweight cyclical sectors (energy/commodities) that look cheap but are volatile.
- Overlooking taxes and transaction costs. High income can carry heavy tax drag depending on your jurisdiction.
Final rules of thumb
- If your objective is current income and capital preservation, favor companies with stable cash flows, conservative leverage, and transparent payout policies (telecoms, utilities, core REITs). Verify coverage and balance sheet strength.
- If your objective is total return with some income, blend lower-yielding quality businesses (like American Express-type franchises) with higher-yielding, more defensive names.
- Always run the dividend checklist before buying, and consider staggered purchases to avoid catching a peak yield on a failing business. For general screening and candidate lists, dividend-focused research sites publish and update high-yield lists regularly — useful starting points but not substitutes for company-level due diligence.
Reviewed by Aparna Decors
on
December 26, 2025
Rating:
